Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 8 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Moscow Flyer Novice Hurdle, 9/12 winners ran within the last 49 days
Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Punchestown, 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Punchestown
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 1 previous win over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over hurdles, 6/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
Rating – 2/12 winners were rated 135 or higher (10/12 didn’t have a rating yet)
Graded Wins – 0/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
4 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Moscow Flyer Novice Hurdle, 3/12 placed on their next run
2/12 winners ran in the Johnstown Novice Hurdle (Naas) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
11 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
6/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 4/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
7/12 winners ran in the Supreme Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 7 won, 2 placed
1/12 winners ran in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 1 won, 0 placed