Recent Form and Trends
* The 2022 race was run at Naas
Trends
Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 11 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Navan Novice Hurdle , 10/12 winners ran within the last 36 days
2/12 winners ran in the Monksfield Novice Hurdle (Navan) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Navan, 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Navan
Previous Distance Form – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 7/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
Graded Wins – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
7 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Navan Novice Hurdle, 2/12 placed on their next run
6/12 winners ran in the Slaney Novice Hurdle (Naas) on their next run, 5 of the 6 won, 0 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their next run, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 2 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
12 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
10/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 10/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
5/12 winners ran in the Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 5 won, 2 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Ballymore Novice Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 3 won, 2 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Supreme Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed