Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 or 5
Price – 7 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Newton Novices Hurdle, 11/12 winners ran within the last 29 days
Previous Course Form – 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Haydock, 0/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Haydock
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 1 previous win over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
Rating – 8/12 winners were rated 123 or higher
Graded Wins – 0/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 9/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
2 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Newton Novices Hurdle, 2/12 placed on their next run
3/12 winners ran in the Formby Novices Hurdle (Aintree) (Formerly the Tolworth Hurdle) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Rossington Main Novices Hurdle (Haydock) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
7/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 4/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
2/12 winners ran in the Supreme Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed