Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 8/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the November Novices Chase , 11/12 winners ran within the last 42 days
Previous Course Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 5 runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 141 or higher (3/12 didn’t have a chase rating)
Graded Wins – 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the November Novices Chase, 4/12 placed on their next run
6/12 winners ran in the Henry VII Novices Chase (Sandown) on their next run, 1 of the 6 won, 2 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
11 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
8/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 8/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
5/12 winners ran in the Arkle Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 5 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Turners Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Grand Annual at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed