Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 11 winners were aged between 7 & 9
Price – 5 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Racing Post Novice Chase, 9/11 winners ran within the last 49 days
Previous Course Form – 7/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Naas, 4/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Leopardstown
Previous Distance Form – 10/11 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/11 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/11 winners had at least 5 previous runs over hurdles, 11/11 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 11/11 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 4/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 9/11 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 2/11 winners were rated 132 or higher (9/11 didn’t have a chase rating)
Graded Wins – 3/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/11 winners had at least 1 run that season, 4/11 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 9/11 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Racing Post Novice Chase, 3/11 placed on their next run
6/11 winners ran in the Irish Arkle Novice Chase (Leopardstown) on their next run, 2 of the 6 won, 2 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
11 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
4/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 7/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
5/11 winners ran in the Arkle Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 5 won, 2 placed