Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle , 11/12 winners ran within the last 65 days
2/12 winners ran in the For Auction Novice Hurdle (Navan) on their last run, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Fairyhouse, 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Fairyhouse
Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 15-17 furlongs, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 12/12 had at least 1 previous win over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 8/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
Rating – 4/12 winners were rated 135 or higher (7/12 didn’t have a rating yet)
Graded Wins – 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 12/12 winners had a win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle, 0/12 placed on their next run
6/12 winners ran in the Future Champion Novice Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their next run, 3 of the 6 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
6/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
4/12 winners ran in the Supreme Novice Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 4 won, 3 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Baring Bingham Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed