Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 or 5
Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Sharp Novices Hurdle, 8/12 winners ran within the last 29 days
Previous Course Form – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 1 previous win over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles
Rating – 6/12 winners were rated 130 or higher (5/12 didn’t have a rating)
Graded Wins – 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Sharp Novices Hurdle, 1/12 placed on their next run
2/12 winners ran in the Formby Novices Hurdle (Sandown) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Kennel Gate Novices Hurdle (Ascot) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
12 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
4/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 4/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
7/12 winners ran in the Supreme Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 7 won, 1 placed