Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 7 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Ten Up Novice Chase, 12/12 winners ran within the last 45 days
3/12 winners ran in the Racecourse Business Club Novice Chase (Naas) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 2 placed
Previous Course Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous runs at Navan, 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Navan
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous runs over 23-25 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 1 previous win over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 7/12 winners were rated 135 or higher (5/12 didn’t have a chase rating)
Graded Wins – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
1 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Ten Up Novice Chase, 1/12 placed on their next run
3/12 winners ran in the Irish Grand National (Fairyhouse) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
1/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 2/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
3/12 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the National Hunt Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed