Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8
Price – 7 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Tingle Creek Chase, 8/12 winners ran within the last 32 days
5/12 winners ran in the Shloer Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 3 of the 5 won, 1 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Haldon Gold Cup (Exeter) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Sandown, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Sandown
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 10 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 4 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had at least 7 previous chase runs, 12/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase wins, 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous chase wins
Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 161 or higher
Grade 1 Wins – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 race, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 6/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
7 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Tingle Creek Chase, 4/12 placed on their next run
6/12 winners ran in the Desert Orchid Chase (Kempton) on their next run, 3 of the 6 won, 2 placed
6/12 winners ran in the Clarence House Chase (Ascot) on their next run, 4 of the 6 won, 2 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
9/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
8/12 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 4 of the 8 won, 0 placed