Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Wayward Lad Novices Chase , 11/12 winners ran within the last 40 days
6/12 winners ran in the Henry VIII Novices Chase (Sandown) on their last run, 5 of the 6 won
Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Kempton, 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Kempton
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had a least 1 previous chase run, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 7/12 winners were rated 148 or higher as a chaser
Graded Wins – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
7 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Wayward Lad Novices Chase, 3/12 placed on their next run
4/12 winners ran in the Lightning Novices Chase (Doncaster) on their next run, 2 of the 4 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Game Spirit Chase (Newbury) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
12 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
8/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
8/12 winners ran in the Arkle Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 4 of the 8 won, 0 placed