Recent Form and Trends
Trends
Age – 7 of the last 12 winners were aged either 4 or 5
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 8/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 7 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Winter Novices Hurdle, 12/12 winners ran within the last 38 days
Previous Course Form – 0/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Sandown, 0/12 winners had at least 1 previous wins at Sandown
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 7/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles
Rating – 7/12 winners were rated 129 or higher
Grade 1-3 Wins – 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
2 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Winter Novices Hurdle, 2/12 placed on their next run
8/12 winners ran in the Challow Novices Hurdle (Newbury) on their next run, 2 of the 8 won, 2 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
7 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
2/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 5/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
4/12 winners ran in the Gallagher Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 4 won, 1 placed